Winthrop
W-L: ( 6-10) PR = 74.1537Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 214 H Kennesaw State Atlantic Su ( 8-10, 74.6) 8- 7 218 H Campbell Colonial (11- 6, 81.7) 15-16 221 H Queens Atlantic Su ( 3-12, 76.7) 13-12 226 H Davidson Atlantic 10 (15- 5, 84.6) 13-17 304 A UNC-Charlotte AAC ( 6- 9, 78.9) 12-21 308 H Old Dominion AAC ( 5-12, 76.2) 12-11 314 A Austin Peay Atlantic Su ( 4-13, 71.2) 17- 6 318 N Iona Metro Atlan ( 3-13, 72.8) 7- 6 325 H High Point Big South ( 8-10, 81.9) 6-16 328 A Longwood Big South ( 3-12, 71.8) 7-10 401 A Radford Big South ( 4-14, 71.3) 15-10 404 H Gardner Webb Big South ( 2-15, 71.1) 12-15 408 H Wofford Big South ( 9-10, 76.3) 12-13 411 A Mercer Big South (13- 7, 85.5) 3-19 418 H Furman Big South (10- 9, 77.0) 13-16 422 A Presbyterian Big South ( 5-12, 70.8) 9-13
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
214 H Kennesaw State 8- 7 1 1 0.09
218 H Campbell 15-16 -1 -6 ++ 5.21
221 H Queens 13-12 1 -1 + 2.21
226 H Davidson 13-17 -4 -9 ++ 5.06
304 A UNC-Charlotte 12-21 -9 -6 - -2.91
308 H Old Dominion 12-11 1 -1 1.64
314 A Austin Peay 17- 6 11 2 +++ 9.44
318 N Iona 7- 6 1 1 -0.32
325 H High Point 6-16 -10 -6 - -3.60
328 A Longwood 7-10 -3 1 - -3.95
401 A Radford 15-10 5 1 + 3.55
404 H Gardner Webb 12-15 -3 4 --- -7.39
408 H Wofford 12-13 -1 -1 -0.22
411 A Mercer 3-19 -16 -13 -1.30
418 H Furman 13-16 -3 -1 -1.51
422 A Presbyterian 9-13 -4 2 --- -6.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 H Gardner Webb 12-15 -3 4 --- -7.39 422 A Presbyterian 9-13 -4 2 --- -6.00 304 A UNC-Charlotte 12-21 -9 -6 - -2.91 325 H High Point 6-16 -10 -6 - -3.60 328 A Longwood 7-10 -3 1 - -3.95 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 314 A Austin Peay 17- 6 11 2 +++ 9.44 218 H Campbell 15-16 -1 -6 ++ 5.21 226 H Davidson 13-17 -4 -9 ++ 5.06 221 H Queens 13-12 1 -1 + 2.21 401 A Radford 15-10 5 1 + 3.55 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Kennesaw State ( 8-10, 74.6) 8- 7 -25.29 14.88 -1.37 1.08 29.26
3 H Campbell (11- 6, 81.7) 15-16 -18.17 22.00 -1.37 1.08 -10.57
3 H Queens ( 3-12, 76.7) 13-12 -23.17 17.00 -1.37 1.08 33.85
3 H Davidson (15- 5, 84.6) 13-17 -15.32 24.85 -1.37 1.08 -9.03
3 A UNC-Charlotte ( 6- 9, 78.9) 12-21 -21.02 19.15 1.37 1.08 -10.64
3 H Old Dominion ( 5-12, 76.2) 12-11 -23.74 16.43 -1.37 1.08 32.62
3 A Austin Peay ( 4-13, 71.2) 17- 6 -28.67 11.49 1.37 1.08 27.85
3 N Iona ( 3-13, 72.8) 7- 6 -27.07 13.10 -0.00 1.08 28.37
3 H High Point ( 8-10, 81.9) 6-16 -17.98 22.19 -1.37 1.08 -10.48
3 A Longwood ( 3-12, 71.8) 7-10 -28.06 12.11 1.37 1.08 -14.45
3 A Radford ( 4-14, 71.3) 15-10 -28.57 11.60 1.37 1.08 28.08
3 H Gardner Webb ( 2-15, 71.1) 12-15 -28.77 11.40 -1.37 1.08 -16.31
3 H Wofford ( 9-10, 76.3) 12-13 -23.60 16.57 -1.37 1.08 -13.51
3 A Mercer (13- 7, 85.5) 3-19 -14.42 25.75 1.37 1.08 -7.06
3 H Furman (10- 9, 77.0) 13-16 -22.89 17.28 -1.37 1.08 -13.13
3 A Presbyterian ( 5-12, 70.8) 9-13 -29.12 11.05 1.37 1.08 -15.02
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59.81
|
winning pts = 180.0239 losing points = -120.2188
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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